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Topic: CG, is Dolly headed for you??


Topic Posted by: Duffy
Date Posted: Mon Jul 21 19:04:30 2008
Additional Comments: I just heard on the news that Dolly is headed for south TX.  Will you have to evacuate?  Please keep us posted!



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Posted by: Midge
Date posted: Tue Jul 22 0:15:34 2008
Message:
In case you don't already have the link for Eric Berger, the Chron's SCIGUY,
http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/
He's one of the best, but I suppose the previous poster would try to teach him a thing or two.

Whenever there's any activity heading toward the Gulf, we always check in with him. Down the right side of the blog, there are clicks for the tracking maps, etc.

Our lawn and garden are really looking forward to the rain. If the path and wind stay the same, it shouldn't get too dirty up our way.

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Posted by: Zach
Date posted: Mon Jul 21 23:59:53 2008
Message:

Dolly is a storm we could all learn from.  It is still a tropical storm, and not being spoken about much... but if it were to strengthen suddenly, which is not out of the question, there would be no time for a real evacuation, even in this day and age, as it is already nighttime and most people are turning in.  It's very close though, so it might have time to become a moderate hurricane right as it hits.

There is little wind shear in the storm, sea surface temperatures are very warm and it has good outflow.  If the storm stalled a bit, it could grow into a monster, but I think it's moving too fast to deepen quite that much.

 

The best forecast as of now for landfall is around Brownsville, Texas as a category 2, with extensive flooding and stormy winds inland of Texas and Mexico.

 

I also don't think communities are much better prepared for a strong hurricane anymore than they were during the Katrina-era or the previous decade with Andrew.  All that outrage with New Orleans, and if another Katrina-type storm hit there, the levies would break again, after 3 years of time to fix them.  And this is not out of the question since the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season has already set new records with Bertha, etc.


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Posted by: Cassies grandma
Date posted: Mon Jul 21 20:31:35 2008
Message:
Right now it is looking like it will hit in N Mexico or very S TX. But we are keeping a watch on it. Thanks for the concern.

Replies: (list all replies)

  • I just looked at the forecast. It said San Louis Pass is the north point for the Tropical storm winds. That is about 12 miles S of me. We could really use some rain. eom CG
  • Glad it is not going to *hit* you! Hope you get lots of good rain. ~Duffy

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